Wednesday, April 20, 2011

I Re-took the Belief-O-Matic Quiz

I was not a little surprised that Reform Judaism got the top spot. My impression of Reform Jews is that they're a bunch of pantheist hip wannabes, and there is absolutely no room in my beliefs for pantheism. Maybe I just unfairly perceived them. Anyway, I coveted Jewishness when I was a kid, so maybe it isn't so outlandish that both Reform and Orthodox Judaism got the top spots. I was not surprised by Sikhism, Islam, and Liberal Quakerism being high on the list, and in fact I've been very interested in all three (but for conversion purposes, I was only interested in Liberal Quakerism). Baha'i does not merit a comment from me.

My scores are below. If you want to take the quiz to see what your best religious fit is, it's right here.


The top score on the list below represents the faith that Belief-O-Matic, in its
less than infinite wisdom, thinks most closely matches your beliefs. However,
even a score of 100% does not mean that your views are all shared by this faith,
or vice versa.

Belief-O-Matic then lists another 26 faiths in order of
how much they have in common with your professed beliefs. The higher a faith
appears on this list, the more closely it aligns with your thinking.

1. Reform Judaism (100%)
2. Orthodox Judaism (87%)
3. Sikhism (86%)
4. Baha'i Faith (84%)
5. Islam (84%)
6. Liberal Quakers (81%)
7. Mainline to Liberal Christian Protestants (74%)
8. Jainism (72%)
9. Unitarian Universalism (71%)
10. Orthodox Quaker (63%)
11. Mahayana Buddhism (60%)
12. Hinduism (58%)
13. Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-Day Saints (Mormons) (54%)
14. Theravada Buddhism (54%)
15. Seventh Day Adventist (51%)
16. New Thought (51%)
17. Neo-Pagan (50%)
18. Scientology (49%)
19. Jehovah's Witness (47%)
20. Mainline to Conservative Christian/Protestant (47%)
21. New Age (46%)
22. Secular Humanism (42%)
23. Christian Science (Church of Christ, Scientist) (41%)
24. Eastern Orthodox (39%)
25. Roman Catholic (39%)
26. Taoism (36%)
27. Nontheist (32%)

Friday, February 11, 2011

Hiatus

I should have done this in August. This will be my last post on this blog until May. I apologize for any inconvenience or displeasure this may cause any of the three or four of you.

But before I go, I must say Congratulations to the people of Egypt. Hopefully they can get the elections pushed forward. Seven months is a long time to wait under military rule.



I guess this is where I'm supposed to paste a powerful quote on continuous struggle, but I lack the time to find anything.

Sunday, February 6, 2011

Market Anarchism, Judgment-Proof Defendants, and Heathianism

If we were to redraw the political spectrum, it would be useful to classify it according to political or social "efficacy" - the strength of the system's positive or negative incentives which confront the individual. The more the individual's actions may be manipulated by the institutionalized relations, the more "efficacy" there is. Post-structuralism and Primitivism would be on the far left, with the least efficacy, and tyrannical, draconian, totalitarian states would be on the far right, with maximum efficacy. ("Maximum efficacy", here, does not mean that the system "works" or is productive, but rather that the typical risk-averse individual cannot possibly refuse the offers that the system does make - we could also call this "total non-refusability", if we don't mind sounding ungraceful).

The ideal "state" would maximize both freedom and efficacy, and would probably be a bit left of the middle of this spectrum. People with my political persuasion believe that this perfect balance can be achieved with competing Private Defense Agencies or Dispute Resolution Organizations that people would voluntarily subscribe to and may choose to unsubscribe from. Competition between these agencies would theoretically lead towards the best services at the lowest prices, and would provide a minimally-violent form of law enforcement. All crimes can be treated like torts, and instead of arresting, jailing, and imprisoning offenders, we could charge them a lot of money.

Protecting the poor against the rich wouldn't bee too much of a problem, since tort claims can be sold to people or groups who have more resources to sue. The prospect of making bank off of rich defendants offers the incentive to compensate poor claimants in exchange for their cause of action.

One of the problems that market anarchists spend a lot of time addressing is the judgment-proof defendant. If your perpetrator is dirt poor, then your cause of action is not marketable. PDA's, DRO's, Anglo-Saxon-style "hundreds", or other kinds of liability insurance groups can cover the costs of their members' wrongdoing and increase their offending members' rates. If the costs of continuing to cover a member's wrongdoing greatly excedes the benefit of his payments, the insurance company can drop him. The prospect of living in an anarchist world without coverage is supposed to be the implicit offer you can't refuse that incentivizes you to live peacefully. Once you lose your coverage, you supposedly have a very powerful incentive to sign some kind of probation contract so that you can get coverage immediately on the condition that you stay in a supervised environment.

But being judgment-proof would be a very sticky situation. When you aren't covered it would probably be very hard to get a job with someone who is covered (DRO's would demand that their subscribers make their business partners get coverage too, or at least offer them lower rates if they do), and when you don't have a job you can't make your payments. Given that people who lost their coverage are a real liability, options for them to reintegrate into "respectable" society would be limited, and quite a few of them may find it easier to just scrape by without any formalized structure to incentivize them to acquiesce to the conventional rights notions ("When you ain't got nothin' you got nothin' to loose"). Add to that mix the immigrant and migrant populations who would be too poor to afford conventional coverage and who would be moving around alot, and you have what a capitalist would call an entrepreneurship opportunity.

(Sure, the greater economic freedom in anarchy would lead to increased economic opportunity for the underserved, but that's a two-sided coin. Greater economic opportunity attracts more people who could use it, and that means a lot of poor people. Were it not for this, we could speculate that the occasional tortfeasance from a judgment-proof defendant would be so rare that the victim's DRO could compensate the victim at no noticeable cost to the DRO. But that might be more of a religious hope than a market outcome.)

The success of market anarchism would depend very much on whether low-cost and effective security and dispute resolution options are extended to excluded and underserved communities. These options may take the form of ecclesiastical courts, the ever-present matriarchal Latina, or - yes - gangs. One of the difficulties is that since migrants and vagabonds aren't settled down in any one community, they wouldn't have much of a reputation for security and dispute resolution providers to work off of. (Impunity for killing blacklisted people would not be much of an option, since killing the wrong person can make things volatile, besides being a wrongfull killing.) If market anarchism cannot fill this coverage gap, then there would be less of an incentive structure for poor people, and market anarchism would be further left on the efficacy spectrum than the social justice types would prefer.

The options that fill the coverage gap would probably be "public options" in security, which would assume contractual privity whether or not the plaintiff or defendant signed any contract or consciously and deliberately gave any indication of assent. This is tacit consent based on territory, and if this reminds you of the presumptiousness of tacit consent used in social contract theory, then you're thinking on my level.

If security and compensation options for underserved communities are not self-sufficient (and they probably won't be), the resources to fund them would have to come from somewhere else - possibly another DRO. We could fantasize that in a world where there are numerous DRO's and PDA's, the DRO's and PDA's would constantly try to one-up each other to provide appropriate services to the underserved. But it would be more likely that the different security companies would try to one-up each other in providing the appearance of appropriate services to the underserved - if their paying members demand that kind of charity in the first place, which they probably won't since it would mean higher premiums for them and they would rather subscribe to the company that charges lower premiums and doesn't provide that charity. This could mean that there would be little incentive to provide the formal services that would incentivize people in low-to-no income areas to refrain from agressing, and that would mean lower efficacy.

I think this worry would be widely shared among the populace of a freshly-decentralized region. And because of this common worry, there may be a significant consumer demand for jurisdiction based not on contract, but on territory. I admit that this is ironic. But we see it all the time today. If people could, they would defer onto everyone else the cost of their goodwill. That's what welfare is. And if they think this goodwill can benefit them, as welfare could in a "veil of ignorance" sense, then they would probably approach security services under the presumption that a local monopoly on police would reduce crime in an entire area and make one's own neighborhood and city safer than would competing police who cannot be forced to provide free services. Prospective security company subscribers would place more demand on a more municipal system, even though the lower amount of competition may mean higher fees.

I have earlier speculated that the formation of the functional equivalent of states is totally possible and even "legitimate" under pure Rothbardian capitalist anarchism. Just think of the water - the dissolution of the state in California could (and likely would) result in privately-held aqueducts that run from the Delta all the way down into the Central Valley, and they would likely demand in their adhesion contracts that all water-users along those aqueducts subscribe to one single DRO (doesn't Hayek or someone have a word for the state's intrusions creating more need for the state?). In my knee-jerk love for all things small, I recently suggested that the anarchist legal community adopt a 20 square mile ceiling on both contiguous property and contiguous jurisdiction. But if the concerns I raise earlier in this post turn out to have real merit, then maybe land monopolies should be accepted not just as real world capitalist phenomena that non-capitalist free marketeers should always strive to break up, but as institutions that people should accept and try to work with. Maybe free market left-libertarians should propose a mutualist cooperative model of the Heathian estate (which would, honestly, just be a mini-republic).

I already have rebuttals and qualfications, but I should stop now and give those in a later post.

Saturday, January 29, 2011

Life Expectancy of the Palestinians

The World Bank's 2008 estimate of life expectancy in Israel was 81 years from birth. The estimate for life expectancy in the Palestinian Territories was 73.5 years.

This really surprised me when I read it. The life expectancy of Egypt was 70.1 years, and the life expectancy of Jordan was 72.7 years. I'm not saying that Egypt and Jordan are especially free and prosperous countries - current events show that these societies have their discontents. But a people buckling under the weight of apartheid are expected to live longer than their neighbors?

It very well may be that these figures are like this because the World Bank got them before Israel's galavant into Gaza. I say new estimates are past due.

It would be really neat to learn the differences between the life expectancy of residents of the West Bank and those of Gaza. My guess is that Gazans' life expectancy would be noticeably lower than that of their compatirots in the West Bank. Anyone with more recent estimates is welcome to give me a link.

Saturday, January 15, 2011

Gun Control

I'm very concerned by ongoing calls to ban or strictly regulate the individual ownership of firearms, mostly because it betrays a pathological naivity on the part of most people making these calls (not to say that there aren't any naifs on the gun rights side).

Last night a lady stood before a reform Jewish congregation in Santa Monica and encouraged congregants and visitors to sign her petition to remove the gun show loop hole. She then said it was non-violent. I wonder if she thinks the officers enforcing that law will be armed. If they will be, well, there's a propensity for violence. Defensive violence, maybe, but it's still violence. And if we're going to allow for some defensive violence, why allow only one particular class to use it?

I always wonder if people who want to ban individual ownership of firearms want to also ban police and military ownership of firearms. That might be nice, if it were ever to happen. But it probably won't. Even in the UK, where the police don't cary firearms, there still are SWAT teams and other special units who do cary and use firearms, and there is a military, whose members - yes - cary firearms. To be fair, there are far fewer gun related deaths in the UK than there are in the US - something which I admit here.

There is one consequentialist consideration which I didn't mention in my earlier post, and that is disparities of power. The state has a much greater capacity to inflict lethal violence than its subjects do. Banning individual ownership of firearms exacerbates that power disparity. This doesn't always result in totalitarianism. Or rather I should say not every case has resulted in totalitarianism yet. What we can say is that the classic cases of totalitarianism (Nazi Germany, Soviet Russia) involved weapons control - or, what Anthony Gregory calls victim disarmament.

People who think the U.S. would be significantly different should take a hint from Oscar Grant, Waco, internment camps, and any other incident from that long list of abuses by the U.S. government. A government that abuses an armed populace can't be trusted to rule a disarmed populace. Of course, the biggest problem is that the government is too powerful to begin with. But until the government's destructive capacities are rolled back, and they never will be, I would say that individual residents of this country should be allowed to keep armor-piercing weapons (though, no, we hardly ever are allowed such a privilege).

Tuesday, January 4, 2011

Getting Saved

From a status update by a FB friend (and former heartbeat from when I was in 6th grade):

I believe in Jesus Christ and have accepted Him as my personal Savior. One FB user has challenged all believers to put this on their wall...In the Bible it says, if you deny me in front of your peers, I will deny you in front of my Father. This is...simple... If you love God and you are not afraid to show it, re-post this as I have.. :)

"Getting saved" is a funny thing to write about. Not because it takes a lot of gall and balls to talk about it with strangers and with people you know don't want to hear about it, but because "getting saved" involves accepting or affirming a very very large package of numerous specific beliefs.

First, and most obviously, you are to belive in God. Not just any god, but a God who has very specific things in mind for each human. This God wishes eternal happiness for each human, but also has set up a scheme where each human will likely be damned to eternal misery (which born again Christians can try to define as mere separation from God, but prefer instead to describe as a bottomless firey pit).

This has funny implications about justice. For just living a less than perfect life which would typically last no longer than 90 years, an unsaved human spends an eternity in hell, which again is usually described as a place of actual torment, and not mere separation from God. Accepting the solution offered by the God who put together this arrangement means accepting that it is just to punish someone with an eternity of torments for sins they committed in a less than 90 year life. Even if the person lived long and wickedly, with constant and cruel sin, the the gravity of the sin divided by the gravity of the punishment evens out to a big fat zero.

You are to believe that this place of eternal torment is the only possible place God can send you, and that places like - oh, purgatory - are simply not options that the omnipotent God will make available.

Included in the beliefs I mentioned above is a non-reincarnation, or linear, view of the afterlife and the world. You don't come back. Once you die you immediately go to where you're destined to go, or you stay in the ground until the trumpet blows, but you don't come back.

You are to believe that your wickedness which condemns you to an eternity of torments can be suddenly washed away (or covered up) by Jesus' death.

You are to believe that since you are so wicked, it is only by the grace of God that you can get saved, and that nothing you do can get you saved - unless of course we're talking about your act of praying to accept Jesus' death as a payment for your sins, since the sufficient grace of Jesus' payment is insufficient to cover you unless you accept it.

You are to believe that a life in awareness of Christ's payment does not constitute faith, that salvation requires the act of accepting Christ's payment, and that this act is not some inefficacious religious ritual or human effort that Paul refers to as a "work".

You are to believe that once you're saved, you're set, and that anything you do, no matter how bad, is covered. If for some reason you thought you were saved but incorrectly believed that you can loose your salvation, you should pray the sinner's prayer again one last time just to "make assurance" of your salvation. Or if after getting saved you committed a sin that is so grave it puts you in doubt of the authenticity of your salvation, you can pray the sinner's prayer again just to make for sure for sure.

All of this and much much more is to be conveyed in the couple minutes it takes to read the Roman's Road.

Saturday, January 1, 2011

What Are the Scots?

Last night at a New Years party my gf asked me "What religion are the Scots? Anglican?" I said the largest group and the national church are (yes, groups are plural) the Church of Scotland, so the Scots "are" Presbyterian.

A summary of the religious identity of the Scottish people can be found here - again, at Wikipedia. At the 2001 census 65% of the Scottish population were some kind of Christian. The groups with the greatest number of people claiming some kind of allegiance to them were the Church of Scotland, with about 42% of the Scottish population, and the Roman Catholic Church, with about 16%. Since no denomination claims a majority of the Scottish people, I think it's unfair to say that "the Scots" as a single people "are" anything. (This seems even more true when we consider that the numbers we're talking about are nominal religious identities - what people merely claim to be - and not how they practice or whether or not their churches officially recognize them as practicing members of the church.)

Of course, by the same reasoning I can say that the English are not Anglican, since only 22.2% of the English people claim to be in the Church of England (the Church of England recognizes only 1.7 million as practicing members of the church).

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I am a part-time philosopher and a former immigration paralegal with a BA in philosophy and a paralegal certificate from UC San Diego.